Observațiile noastre: Lean hog futures for the last half of at the CME reached new life of contract highs. Last week August These are excellent prices for the fall months.
It makes one wonder about hedging fall There could be an upside, yet on the futures for October — December but 80 cents is a lot better than the 60 cent lean prices we are getting currently. There are always more hogs seasonally in the fall. The National Base Lean weights for the 4 days last week averaged There appears to be a drop in weights, this is quite positive after we have seen several weeks of relentless weight increases.
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In our opinion the only way weights could be dropping is a more current inventory. Weather, grain, finishing space for hogs has not changed. Pulling weights down will support prices as it is a reflection on hog supply and will cut pork tonnage. The average bet is pricing is going up.
With lean hogs 61 cents per pound and U. As hog supply declines we expect this cut — out margin will allow packers to bid up hog prices quickly.
Last week we discussed the U. This obviously means fewer hogs are coming to market for the coming months. The U.
Sow slaughter has been around 62, a week for the last few weeks. This is up from the 55, we have averaged for the year. At 55, a week the breeding herd was holding steady.
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At 62, we expect this means liquidation. High feed prices coupled with the drop in hog prices has translated into negative margins. It takes capital and courage to be in the hog industry.
Some are being challenged on these attributes and are exiting. The swine profit margin challenge is putting a big break on potential expansion.
Genesus is in the business of selling swine genetics. Empty sow units needing restocking we pay attention too.
Before the grain price surge we had several empty units in play to get restocked. The feed price surge has put most if not all plans on hold. There is no way when you scădere în greutate cme the biological time period to breed sows and get hogs to market that there will be anything but less hogs in compared to You want to feel bad.
This is what happens when you have low production and tariffs. It is a good time to call your congressman and tell them the livestock industry and consumers are both being hurt by the drive up in corn prices pushed by subsidized corn ethanol production. The 45 cent volumetric ethanol excise tax credit and 54 cent ethanol import tariff are due to scădere în greutate cme December Let them expire.
If the corn ethanol industry is efficient and necessary, it will survive. Of course worse fuel economy and no benefit to the environment have been proven. It is a boondoogle!
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There is talk to cut government spending as a legacy of midterm elections. China has made it illegal to make corn into ethanol. The insanity of burning food is morally and economically un-defendable. We look forward to seeing you there!
Un semn al dezechilibrului hormonal poate fi însăși supraponderabilitatea. Țesutul adipos situat în zona abdomenului are efect asupra producerii hormonului leptină, excesul căruia duce la scăderi de tensiune.